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The President's Message
Pathways to Cancer
Part 1. The Lives of People
by Ian Magrath

This horse is one of 1500 animals painted some 15,000 years ago in the Cave of Lascaux in France. Such sanctuaries may express the spiritual relationship of our ancestors with the natural world. Photograph provided by J. Grelet - Semitour Périgord.
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| The nameless is the beginning of heaven and earth. The named is the mother of ten thousand things. Tao Te Ching |
One of the central dynamics of human society derives from the tension between the community and the individuals that comprise it. Social harmony, or justice, involves a balance between the contributions made and benefits received by each member of a community and results in the actions of individuals being governed by the collective good. It seems probable that such harmony existed, for the most part, in the small homogeneous bands of people that comprised human society for most of mankind's existence, pooling their collective skills and knowledge in order to survive. It was not until the development of agriculture some 8,000 years ago that centralized government emerged, leading to a dramatic change in the community dynamic. By some measures, and in spite of its inherent
disparity, central government was an enormous success, permitting the rapid expansion of populations and leading eventually to undreamed of progress in science and technology. The new social order, however, carried a high and ever increasing price - measured in terms of human misery. The size and number of major conflicts escalated, reaching unprecedented levels in the 20th century, while epidemic infections flourished in populations grown large enough to sustain them, and spread across entire continents. The industrial revolution boosted both agricultural productivity and manufacturing capacity, enriching merchants and bankers, whose wealth soon enabled them to wrest the reins of power from the ruling dynasties. But inequality has continued to increase, unchecked even by the recent global trend toward democracy. Industrialization led to a higher caloric intake, an increasingly sedentary lifestyle and exposure to a broad range of chemical substances. These, and most of all, the ability to manufacture billions of cigarettes, brought new health hazards and a dramatic increase in vascular diseases and cancer. Cumulative deaths from cancer now exceed those caused by the most devastating epidemics or the bloodiest wars in history, and the toll continues to rise. In 2002 there were an estimated 7 million deaths from cancer - a million more than in 2000 - but incidences are beginning to decline in the affluent countries, and future increases will occur almost exclusively in the countries struggling to expand their limited economic resources.
Dreamtime
Peoples who have practiced their traditional ways of life within living memory provide some insights into the very different mind-set of our paleolithic forebears. Small “egalitarian” bands of hunter-gatherers were the only human societies for most of the existence of modern Homo sapiens, spanning some 150 millennia. Families were of equal status, and respect was conferred upon individuals in proportion to their value to the community. Today, vanishingly few peoples retain this way of life, but in some world regions, hunter-gatherer lifestyles persisted until quite recently. Australian aboriginals, for example, were exclusively hunter-gatherers until the coming of the Europeans in 1788. They believed that the features of the their land were molded by ancestral creator-beings who emerged from their slumber beneath the ground in the time of the Dreaming. These magical creatures, able to take the form of animals or people (e.g., Kangaroo Man and Emu Woman) and to alter their size and shape, wandered across the land, singing as they went, and molding it by their actions. The plains were places where they had rested, valleys were sculpted by a dragging tail, and precious water holes were created where they urinated. Metamorphosing into prominent features of the landscape, such as a rocky outcrop, or into the plant or animal species after which they were named, their presence was always felt by the people whose lives they sustained. For the aboriginals, their homeland comprised a sacred matrix in which the continual flow of the events of their lives took place. They were not unique. The Inuit of Northern Alaska, who call themselves Tikigagmiut, live in a place called Tikigaq, named after a prominent peninsula that projects (points) into the sea. They believe that this “finger” was originally formed by a whale - the animal on whom their lives depend - harpooned by a magical being, Raven Man.
It seems probable that our ancestors had a similar relationship to the land and to its native species. To them, the animals they hunted died, quite literally that they might live - a sacrifice for which they were eternally grateful. Then, some 8000 years ago, a few communities living in regions rich in readily domesticated plants and animals learned the arts of farming. The stories written into the land they inhabited blurred into a new set of myths more relevant to their adopted lifestyles, inscribed now in symbols on clay or papyrus. And the social structures that had served them for so long were changed forever.
| “When man interferes with the Tao, the sky becomes filthy, the earth becomes depleted, the equilibrium crumbles, creatures become extinct. Tao Te Ching |
Eight Millennia of Cultural Evolution
While even hunter-gatherers might occasionally live in relatively permanent settlements in places where resources were sufficiently concentrated (such as in coastal fishing or whaling communities), it was not until the agricultural revolution that centrally governed communities evolved. These initially took the form of “chiefdoms,” i.e., communities governed by members of powerful families who retained their status over generations. In the fertile river valleys, where sufficient food could be produced to allow substantial division of labor, chiefdoms rapidly evolved into city-states and thence, through a process of colonization and coalescence (voluntary or not), into the larger, more inhomogeneous and more complex societies we refer to today as nation-states. The powers of chiefs, and subsequently, kings, included control over the redistribution of resources, a monopoly on the right to use force and the authority to arbitrate disputes. Such powers assured considerable respect and proportionate material benefits derived from tribute exacted from the farmers and tradespeople who were their subjects. This enabled rulers to acquire luxury goods, either through long-distance trading, or created by specialized craftsmen, sometimes over generations. Unique apparel, (fit for a king!), and the construction of palaces and other elaborate forms of public architecture increased the awe in which they were held and the power they were allowed to wield. Supported by
specialists in religious lore and ritual (priests), they claimed to rule by divine right and built temples (cathedrals in Europe) or other religious complexes that sustained their relationship with the priests. The magic of nature became supernatural, metamorphosing into tamed gods who were increasingly confined to convenient stone edifices. Such societies flourished, in spite of their inherent inequality, because centralized control permitted the more efficient management of agriculture and better protection against the constant predation of other nation-states (e.g., through weapons production and the organization of military forces). Religious and newfound “nationalistic” beliefs made soldiers more willing to die in battles designed to further enrich their rulers. Successful military leaders were rewarded by gifts of land, creating a new and potentially competitive aristocracy.
In the East, religion eschewed a political structure and became primarily concerned with philosophical exposition and the achievement of spiritual enlightenment - through mystical experience of the ultimate reality (although worship of multiple divinities often prevailed at the popular level). In the West, religion and politics remained more closely intertwined, often to the detriment of natural philosophy, but scientific progress was eventually seen to be indispensable to economic (and military) competition with other societies and was strongly supported by governments.
The industrial and technological revolutions, however, while accelerating socioeconomic development, exacted a significant toll on the communities in their van - a toll that is spreading to those countries that continue to lag some way behind. Slowly, but with gathering impetus in recent centuries, the natural world has receded from the daily lives of citizens. Today, almost half the world's people live in towns and cities, where they are separated from each other by the sheer mass of humanity and from the natural world by layers of concrete and packages of processed food. Modern market economies have stimulated private enterprise and encouraged ever more rapid progress in science and technology; but the priority of economic goals has led to the exploitation of natural resources and vulnerable populations, as well as to pollution and poverty. Approximately half the world's people live on less than $2 a day, their desperate circumstances compounded by poor health and limited access to health care. Against a background of ever more frenzied activities in a world of Dickensian contrasts, seemingly light years away from the magical world inhabited by our forebears, the paradoxical words of the Taoist sage, Lao Tzu, “by non-action, everything can be done,” are rendered transparently clear. Action, he suggests, should not be contrary to the harmony of the natural world of which we are a part, but should move in concert with the “flow.”
Non-action, or wu-wei, is not the path taken by those who trample roughshod over the world and its peoples in their insatiable quest for ego-expansion, deluded into seeing the world as a myriad of separate, highly desirable objects - of ten thousand things - rather than the single, ineffable whole, referred to by Lao Tzu as the Tao. But remarkably, a new science, barely a century old and requiring massive resources to verify its deepest theoretical propositions, is moving towards a vision of reality similar to that of the ancient Eastern sages, bringing East and West, in spite of their different approaches to enlightenment, into juxtaposition. Esoteric though it may seem to the uninitiated, quantum physics holds promise of lifting the enveloping veils of illusion (maya) and reconnecting, in the process, mankind to its moorings while simultaneously, in Blake's prescient words, putting infinity into the palms of his hands.
| Measures known to decrease smoking, such as a high tobacco tax and smoke-free workplaces, would be more easily introduced before the smoking epidemic reaches its height in poor countries which still have relatively low smoking rates. |
From Paradox to Paradigm
In 1935, Albert Einstein, Boris Podolsky and Nathan Rosen published a paper of pivotal importance in the evolution of quantum mechanics, one of the two major 20th century revolutions in physics. They drew attention to an apparent paradox of quantum theory (subsequently known as the EPR paradox) which predicts that two once-linked sub-atomic particles, no matter how far apart they travel, will remain forever entangled such that measuring a particular characteristic (e.g., the direction of spin, or polarization) of one of the particles will instantaneously result in the other “acquiring” a complementary characteristic. Despite Einstein's profound discomfort with the notion of “action at a distance,” leading him to suggest that quantum theory must be incomplete, experiments performed decades later have confirmed the theoretical prediction, and excluded the presence of local “hidden variables” that could account for the phenomenon. The particles behave as a unit. Entanglement has practical implications for the development of new technologies, such as quantum teleportation, quantum cryptography and quantum computing, but it has even greater implications for the reality behind the constructs of our senses. For whereas the macroscopic world we perceive appears to be comprised of individual elements (the ten thousand things) which are subject to the influence of local factors - a perspective that even Einstein was reluctant to discard - the reality is that all events are probabilistic - that is, they arise in the context of a vast interconnected and self-consistent web, fitting into place according to their probability of occurrence. Particles thus exist as “probability waves” with a certain amplitude (encompassing the range of possible locations) and become “real” only when a measurement is made - implying that the observer, and, therefore, consciousness, is an integral part of the system. These concepts - both the wave-particle duality and the influence of the observer - are difficult to grasp after centuries of Cartesian dualism (separation of mind and body), and Newtonian mechanics (whereby the cosmos is perceived
as a giant deterministic machine - a clockwork universe put into motion by a god who is somehow separate from it), but have profound implications for the nature of the world in which we live.
The proposition that all particles are entangled is inherent in the big bang theory, according to which the Universe evolved from an infinitely small, infinitely curved and infinitely dense point, a singularity, which, some 15 billion years ago, released its contained energy in a tremendous explosion. From the resultant, rapidly expanding four dimensional web of electromagnetic vibrations particles emerged, eventually aggregating, in areas of sufficient density, into stars, which continue to recede rapidly from each other in the present-day Universe. This well substantiated theory, incidentally, relegates absolute rest and nothing to the status of purely relative concepts. Science has moved distinctly away from Aristotle's elaborate theory of causality and now sounds remarkably similar to the philosophical concepts of the great Eastern religions. Hindus and Buddhists, particularly in Tantric philosophy, described the embryonic Universe as a bindu (a point), which contained the totality of the energy and form of being (the goddess Shakti), intertwined with pure consciousness (her consort, Shiva, also both creator and destroyer). From this arose the primordial vibration, om (equivalent to Brahman or the Tao), that gave rise to the world we perceive.
Impossible though it may be to comprehend the nameless underlying oneness - whether from a scientific or religious perspective - and to escape from the illusory world (maya) to which our senses confine us, mystics can experience the unity of being through meditation, whilst scientists can create maps (largely in the form of mathematical equations) that provide guides to the pathways of being and non-being. One such mathematical map, S-matrix theory (which concerns hadrons, such as protons and neutrons), states that interactions between particles follow certain rules that determine the energy levels at which the probability of one or several particles emerging, disappearing, or transforming into other particles, dramatically increases. Such enhanced probabilities have been termed “resonances” in analogy with the optimal frequencies at which sound waves are transmitted in bounded spaces. Resonances, or energy channels (familiar to Eastern philosophers), must surely influence the macroscopic world that we perceive. Cancer, for example, occurs when and where the set of factors that govern its emergence achieve maximal complementary. And although seemingly unrelated to the esoterica of particle physics, cancer is the end result of a series of genetic changes brought about by the interactions of molecules and their constituent atoms, the pathways of which are ultimately defined by the mathematics of quantum mechanics.
Probability Pathways in Carcinogenesis
We often speak of the genetic and environmental determinants of cancer, but this language is misleading, for such factors do not act independently, but are part of the interpenetrating web referred to by both Eastern philosophers and quantum physicists. The environment, through a process of Darwinian evolution, molds the genome of living creatures, and is, in turn, affected by their actions (particularly those of humans). Carcinogens do not cause cancer, but rather interact with a myriad of other factors to create “resonant” frequencies in time and place, i.e., they significantly increase the probability that cancer will occur. Carcinogens in tobacco smoke, for example, are capable of greatly influencing the probability of cancer, but whether a particular smoker develops a particular cancer depends upon the age at which smoking began, the duration and intensity of smoking, exposure to other environmental pollutants, and in some cases dietary and/or hormonal factors. It also depends upon the particular set of relevant genetic alleles (i.e., very slightly different versions of the same gene) inherited by the smoker. Such alleles include genes relevant to behavior and physical dependence on nicotine, the absorption and processing of the carcinogens in tobacco smoke, the ability of cells to prevent or repair the damage caused, and the inherent likelihood of mistakes arising or persisting in the course of gene replication (during cell division), which may, in some cases, be a major contributor to the cancer “probability wave.” Which alleles are inherited will depend upon the genetic constitution of the smoker's ancestors, itself molded by the selective effect of the environment(s) in which they lived. We cannot possibly know all of these variables for all cancers, but we can recognize particularly potent predisposing factors for some cancers, and develop strategies to modify their influence (Figure 1).

Figure 1. A simplified version of the web of cancer probability. Each factor (which may be composite) as well as many factors not shown and others yet to be identified contributes to the overall probability of cancer. The relative weight of each factor varies from one individual to another and from one cancer to another.
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The probability of cancer developing in an individual (except in the case of familial cancer) is difficult to determine accurately, and is of limited value to the development of public health policies relating to the control of cancer. In sufficiently large populations or subpopulations living in a relatively homogeneous environment, however, probability translates into a rather accurate and valuable statistic - the average (or subpopulation-specific) annual incidence rate. Incidence rates can be compared to the rate of radioactive decay of a radionuclide - whereas the intervals between disintegrations of an individual atom are unpredictable and not related to local conditions, the decay rate of a large population of atoms can be predicted with extraordinary precision since it is the sum of the probabilities of radioactive decay of each atom. This, again, points towards the generally unrecognized relationship between familiar events in the macroscopic world and the seemingly strange events in the world of quantum physics.
Changing Cancer Resonances
It is, of course, impossible to have any clear idea of the incidence of cancer in paleolithic populations although both the incidence and spectrum of cancers must have differed greatly from the patterns observed today - even in modern aboriginal peoples. Once exposed to technically advanced societies, however, aboriginals usually give up their traditional lifestyles and tend to succumb to unhealthy behaviors such as smoking and heavy alcohol consumption, contributing to their high premature mortality rates. In the Pima “Indians” of Arizona, genetic selection over many centuries of those best able to survive the adverse circumstances of their traditional lifestyle has led to a strong susceptibility to obesity and its consequences, including type II diabetes (present in 50% of the tribe between the ages of 30 and 64 years), hypertension, gall stones, and gall bladder and bile duct cancers. This example vividly demonstrates how genetic and environmental factors interact, and how beneficial genetic traits in one set of circumstances may be deleterious in another. Other diseases may be transmitted by direct contacts with new populations. In Quechua Indians, descendants of the Incas, the commonest cancer is cervical cancer, but a study of Human Papilloma Virus (HPV) subtypes known to be strongly associated with this disease has shown the majority to be of European origin.
Unlike their modern relatives, ancient hunter-gatherer populations probably had an extremely low incidence of cancer. Peto and Doll have proposed that approximately one third of cancer risk in affluent societies is related to tobacco, a third to diet, and perhaps a sixth to chronic infectious diseases. The remainder stems from a miscellany of factors, including prolonged exposure to physical or chemical agents - all subject to the inherited ability to maintain the integrity of the genome. Apart from sunlight and infectious diseases, most environmental factors relevant to cancer today did not apply to hunter-gatherer peoples in their natural state. Pre-industrial farming communities were at risk for additional infectious diseases, in part because of increased population density, but also because of their close proximity to animal and human waste - excrement was used as fertilizer, building material and fuel. It is highly probable that the majority of their cancer risk was attributable to infections, although factors such as indoor pollution (e.g., from open fires) and dietary habits doubtless played some role. A number of chronic diseases caused by bacteria, viruses and parasitic flatworms (flukes) are known to be important risk factors in the development of certain human cancers, including stomach (Helicobacteri pylori) liver (hepatitis B and C, and Clonorchis sinensis), bladder (Schistosoma hematobium) and intestinal cancer (Schistosoma mansoni). The need to locate agricultural communities close to water, and the use of irrigation canals to extend arable land increased the risk of infestation by flukes, whose transmission requires water snails and sometimes fish as intermediate hosts. The frequency of sexually transmitted diseases probably also differed markedly across the span of history, and the prevalence of HPV doubtless increased as societies became larger and more inhomogeneous, thereby lessening the influence of culturally-determined restrictions on sexual relations - a process hastened, no doubt, by coordinated military expeditions associated with routine violation or enslavement of female populations. HIV/AIDS is an example of a recently emerged sexually transmitted infection associated with an increased risk of cancer. Interestingly, fertility rates may also influence cancer risk. The incidence of breast cancer, a hormone-dependent disease, for example, has increased in parallel to the decreased size of families and much more limited breast feeding in the affluent populations that emerged after the technological revolution.

Figure 2. Crude (actual) annual incidence and mortality rates per 100,000 of cancer in WHO world regions. Data from Globocan 2002.
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Figure 3. Age-standardized (to a world population structure) annual incidence and mortality rates of cancer per 100,000 in WHO world regions. Data from Globocan 2002. Age standardized rates are used for comparative purposes, but show (compare with figure 1) how overall rates increase when populations age. Age intensifies many factors, e.g., environmental exposures, but sometimes, e.g., in pediatric cancers, its effect derives from age-related physiological differences.
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WU-WEI (NON-ACTION) AND CANCER CONTROL
Avoid smoking;
avoid excessive alcohol consumption;
avoid high fat diets;
avoid excessive exposure to potentially harmful environmental agents. |
Cancer then, like major warfare, global epidemics, poverty and environmental damage, can largely be considered an unwanted potentially avoidable effect of socioeconomic development. Not surprisingly, marked regional variations in the global cancer pattern exist, reflecting differences in socioeconomic development, lifestyles and the pattern of relevant infections - influenced to a greater or lesser degree by the intrusion of the unhealthy attributes of industrialization, particularly smoking. Unfortunately, more limited industrialization is often associated with more limited protection against exposure to industrial and agricultural chemicals, so that associated health hazards can be more, not less. Cancer, however, has a relatively low incidence in many developing countries (Figures 2 and 3), particularly those in which the smoking epidemic is still in its early phases (Figure 4) and caloric intake is low. Thus, in many of the poorer countries, there is an opportunity to pre-empt some part of the expected rise in cancer, i.e., to introduce prevention policies before anticipated increases in risk factors, such as smoking, amplified by aging of the population, dominate the cancer pattern.

Figure 4. Cigarette consumption in
selected countries. *Indicates countries
in which consumption is declining. Data
from The Tobacco Atlas, WHO, 2004
(available on-line).
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It is one of the tragedies of socioeconomic development that even when the factors that increase the incidence of specific diseases, such as cancer, are recognized, economic considerations (that may benefit only a small sector of society) lead to attempts to inhibit appropriate countermeasures, or even to promote unhealthy behaviors. Such actions are clearly antisocial, but are difficult to oppose without strong support from international governmental and non-governmental organizations. In an era also faced by the twin dangers of nuclear proliferation and major environmental degradation it is
difficult to discount, lightly, the possibility of an approaching Armageddon. Yet the Nobel prize in physics this year was awarded for the discovery of asymptotic freedom, whereby the strong nuclear force that binds the quarks within atomic nuclei increases as they move further apart - explaining why quarks have more freedom when close together, and why they cannot exist as individual particles.
This step towards the physicists’ dream of a unified theory of space-time, energy and matter could also be a description of an ideal human society and its relationship to the interconnected cosmic web. Perhaps quantum physics will finally help us to understand what it is that the Tikigagmiut feel when they look in the direction of the pointing finger that is Tikigaq.
Part 2 - The Lives of Cells - will follow in the next newsletter.
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